A client called me earlier this week and asked the question I hear more than almost any other: "Tony, should I sell now or wait until next year?" My answer this week was the same thing I told them: the data is pointing toward now, and here is why.
Median days on market in Manhattan Beach just moved from 39 days to 30 days. That is a meaningful shift. Homes are moving faster than they were earlier this year, and in a market where the median asking price for a single-family home sits at $4.29 million, faster movement matters enormously for sellers.
Manhattan Beach is currently running at a warm market temperature with 122 active listings and a median asking price of $1,554 per square foot. That is not a market that is sitting still. When days on market compresses the way it has, from 39 to 30, it tells me that buyers who were on the fence are making decisions. They are not waiting indefinitely, and that urgency works in a seller's favor.
If you have been thinking about listing, the window where buyer momentum is building is exactly when you want to be on market. Waiting to see if things get even better is a reasonable thought, but momentum can shift, and you cannot predict when it peaks from the outside looking in.
One thing I find worth noting for my clients who are weighing their options regionally: Manhattan Beach and Hermosa Beach have moved 14 points apart on asking prices over the past year. Asking prices in Manhattan Beach are flat year over year while Hermosa Beach has seen asking prices move down 14.2%. That divergence tells me Manhattan Beach is holding its position as a distinct and resilient market. Sellers here are not being forced to adjust downward in the way some nearby markets are.
That kind of relative strength is meaningful if you are thinking about timing. Stability in asking prices combined with fewer days on market is a combination that favors sellers who act.
Not every home in Manhattan Beach is in the same position. The jump from a 2-bedroom to a 3-bedroom in this market represents a $1,200,000 difference in median asking price, which is a 67% step up. If you own a 3-bedroom or larger home, you are sitting in a price tier where buyer decisions are significant and deliberate. The median asking price for a 3-bedroom is $2,999,000, a 4-bedroom is $4,800,000, and a 5-bedroom reaches $5,500,000. Understanding where your home sits on that ladder affects how you price it and when you bring it to market.
With a 30-year mortgage rate at 6.7%, buyers at these price points are financing large sums and they are being selective. Being on market when buyer activity is accelerating, as the drop in days on market suggests, means your home gets seen by the buyers who are actually ready to move.
All of that said, the one thing you cannot work out from reading a market post is how your specific home, your street, your condition, your floor plan, and your timeline interact with today's buyer pool. That is the conversation I have with every client before we decide anything. If you are thinking about selling in Manhattan Beach and want to talk through your specific situation, reach out and let's figure out what timing actually looks like for you.
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